Top-10 Tigers Take on Colorado in Stiff Road Test Saturday

Oct. 29, 2007

#9/9 Missouri Tigers (7-1, 3-1) at Colorado Buffaloes (5-4, 3-2)
Nov. 3, 2007 — Folsom Field — Boulder, Colo.


KICKOFF:
4:30 p.m. MT (5:30 p.m. CT).
STADIUM: Folsom Field (53,750 – natural grass).  Opened in 1924.  MU is 13-20-1 alltime there, having dropped 10-of-11 there since 1985 (win came in 1997).
RADIO: Tiger Network (Mike Kelly, play-by-play/John Kadlec, color/Chris Gervino, sidelines).  Carried on over 50 stations statewide, and on the Internet at mutigers.com, and on Sirius Satellite Radio (Channel #181).
TV: Fox Sports Net.  Joel Meyers (Play-by-Play), Gary Reasons (Analysis), Jim Knox (Sidelines), Bob Steinfeld (Producer).
RANKINGS (AP/COACHES): MU – 9th/9th; CU – NA/RV.
SERIES: MU leads, 37-31-3, and has won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
COACHES:
   Mizzou: Gary Pinkel (Kent, ‘75), 44-36 at MU (7th year) and 117-73-3 overall (17th year).  Pinkel is 2-4 vs. CU and 1-0 vs. Dan Hawkins.
   CU: Dan Hawkins (UC-Davis, ‘84), 7-14 at CU (2nd year) and 99-37-1 overall (12th year).  Hawkins is 0-1 vs. MU and Gary Pinkel.

TOP-10 TIGERS TAKE ON COLORADO IN STIFF ROAD TEST SATURDAY
   The Missouri Tigers (7-1 overall, 3-1 in Big 12 play) head to the mountains of Boulder, Colo., where they’ll take on the Colorado Buffaloes (5-4, 3-2) Saturday evening in a game set for a 5:30 p.m. (central) kickoff. The game will be televised by FSN.
   The 9th-ranked Tigers are coming off a workmanlike 42-28 home win over Iowa State, and look to stay in the hunt for a Big 12 North Division title – but the road will be hard, as 3 of MU’s final 4 games will come away from Faurot Field. Mizzou is 2-1 playing away from home this year, including a road win at Ole Miss and a neutral-field win over Illinois to start the season.
   Colorado is coming off a solid road win at Texas Tech (31-26) last Saturday that saw them end a 2-game losing skid at Kansas State and vs. Kansas. The Buffaloes ran for 217 yards at Tech last week, and intercepted Red Raider QB Graham Harrell 4 times to notch the win. CU needs just one more victory to become bowl-eligible.

TOUGHEST REMAINING SCHEDULES
School Record Opp. Record Pct. Rank
Kansas 4-0 (8-0) 15-16 .484 59th
Mizzou 3-1 (7-1) 21-10 .677 18th
Kansas State 3-2 (5-3) 15-16 .484 59th
Colorado 3-2 (5-4) 11-13 .458 68th
Nebraska 1-4 (4-5) 16-7 .696 12th

AND DOWN THE STRETCH THEY COME
   Saturday’s game in Boulder, Colo. begins the final one-third of the regular season for the Missouri Tigers, and if Mizzou is going to fulfill pre-season prognostications of winning the Big 12 North Division title, it is possibly facing must-win situations the rest of the way, given the red-hot play of undefeated and division-leading Kansas. With four games left for both teams, KU holds a one-game lead in the North standings over MU, and a 1 1/2-game lead over both Colorado and Kansas State (both 3-2 in league play).
   Only Iowa State, at 0-5 currently, has been eliminated from North contention at this point, and certainly both CU and K-State are still eyeing the crown – although things are tougher for both due to having already lost head-to-head matchups with Kansas. The head-to-head loss for both means that in order to win the division, they would have to finish either one full game ahead of KU, or finish in a tie involving three or more teams in which it wins a convoluted tiebreaker.
   So with that, let’s take a quick look at the remaining schedule of the five teams still in contention in the North. The numbers show that Mizzou has the toughest road to hoe the rest of the way among the top four teams, in terms of strength of schedule (with national ranking of toughest remaining schedule according to www.ncaa.org):

TIGERS MOVE TO 7-1, 3-1 WITH 42-28 WIN OVER IOWA STATE
   The Missouri Tigers improved to 7-1 overall and 3-1 in Big 12 Conference play with a 42-28 win last Saturday over the Iowa State Cyclones, in Columbia. The Tigers, installed as four-touchdown favorites coming in, got off to a rousing start, as they jumped out to a quick 14-0 lead after their 1st two possessions of the day, scoring on short runs by TB Jimmy Jackson (1 yd.) and TB Tony Temple (7 yds.), the latter who returned to the lineup after missing 2 games (ankle).
   But the Cyclones wouldn’t go away easily, as ISU made enough plays to hang around, and closed to within 17-14 with :24 seconds left in the 1st half. The Tigers, however, managed a 48-yard Jeff Wolfert field goal at the halftime gun to extend the lead to 20-14 at half, and scored a defensive TD on ISU’s opening 2nd-half possession (NOSE Lorenzo Williams pounced on a fumble in the end zone caused on a QB sack by DE Stryker Sulak), and after a successful two-point conversion, MU led 28-14.
   ISU still hung around, closing to 28-21 midway through the 3rd quarter, but MU’s offense pulled away by scoring on consecutive possessions to make it 42-21 at the 11:24 mark of the 4th quarter, effectively ending the game and making Iowa State’s last TD one for the stat sheets only.
   Iowa State outgained Mizzou overall on the day by a 389-to-366 margin in total offense, thanks in large part due to a huge edge in time of possession of 38:22-to-21:38. The Cyclones ran 87 plays, compared to only 65 for Mizzou – season lows in both categories for MU.

TIGERS LOSE ALL-AMERICA CANDIDATE PIG BROWN WITH INJURY
   The win Saturday against Iowa State came at a heavy price for the Tiger defense, as senior co-captain SS Pig Brown was lost for the remainder of the year with a ruptured right Achilles tendon – suffered in the final five minutes of the game in a non-contact situation.
   Brown was having an All-American-caliber season, and was very possibly a leading candidate for Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year, and his presence will be missed dearly by the Tiger defenders. Brown had twice won Big 12 Defensive Player of the Week honors in 2007, for his stellar play against Illinois in the 2007 season opener (100-yard fumble return for TD and game-saving INT in the endzone to end the game) and also against Texas Tech (career-high 14 tackles, 4.5 TFLs, 2 PBUs, 1 INT and another pass deflection that ended up in a pick-six for MU’s defense).
   Brown had surgery to repair the injury Sunday in Columbia, and the surgery went well.
   He ends his season having recorded 70 tackles, 8 TFLs, 3 INTs, 4 PBUs, 2 recovered fumbles (including the NCAA record-tying 100-yard return) and 1 forced fumble.
   Likely replacing Brown in the lineup will be junior Justin Garrett, who has played well in his previous opportunities. Garrett missed Saturday’s game against ISU due to a hyperextended elbow suffered in the Texas Tech game, but he’s listed as probable for the game at Colorado.
   Garrett has started 3 times this season when MU has gone with a nickel package to start the game, and he has 19 total tackles in 7 games. Garrett also has 2 INTs on the year, getting picks in back-to-back games at Ole Miss and against Western Michigan, while also forcing 1 fumble.

MU HISTORY AS A RANKED TEAM
PLAYING AT UNRANKED COLORADO
DATE MU RANK CU RANK RESULT       
11-8-2003 22 Colorado 21, MU 16
10-27-1973 7 Colorado 17, MU 13
10-25-1969 5 Colorado 31, MU 24
11-6-1965 9 MU 20, Colorado 7

TIGERS RISE TO #9 IN A.P. POLL, ALSO STAND #9 IN BCS RANKINGS
   After its 42-28 victory over Iowa State last Saturday, Mizzou moved up 4 spots in the Associated Press Top-25, to 9th. This marks the 6th-consecutive week the Tigers have been ranked, with the current ranking the highest for any Mizzou team since peaking at #8 in the A.P. poll during the 1981 season.
   The 3rd week of BCS rankings was released Sunday, and the Tigers rose to #9, and were one of 4 Big 12 Conference teams included in this week’s top-25: #6 Oklahoma, #8 Kansas, and #15 Texas were the others.
   A few notes about MU carrying a ranking into a game:

  • MU is 92-59-1 overall (60.8%) in its previous 152 games as a ranked team, including 7-3 alltime as the #9-ranked team in the AP poll.
  • Mizzou has played 66 previous times on the road as a ranked team, and the Tigers stand 35-30-1 alltime in those games (53.8%)...
  • Breaking that down further, Mizzou has played 45 times in its history on the road as a ranked team, playing against an unranked opponent. In those instances, MU sports an alltime mark of 30-14-1 (67.8%), but this week’s foe – Colorado – has been a thorn in the proverbial side for MU, as the Buffaloes are 3-1 playing in Boulder, Colo., as an unranked team going against a ranked Tiger squad.
  • Mizzou is 9-7 under Head Coach Gary Pinkel when playing as a ranked team, including 4-1 in 2007, 3-2 in 2006, 1-1 in 2004 and 1-3 in 2003.

MIZZOU-COLORADO SERIES HISTORY
   Mizzou and Colorado will meet for the 73rd time when they play Saturday in Boulder, Colo., with MU holding a slim 38-31-3 edge in the overall series. The Tigers have won two of the last three meetings (both in Columbia, Mo.), but the Buffs have won 7-of-11 since the formation of the Big 12 Conference in 1996.
   If recent history holds true to form, then Saturday’s game should be a tightly contested one, as 8 of the 11 battles between the two teams have been decided by two scores or less. Boulder has been a tough place to play for Mizzou of late, as the Tigers have dropped their last four games there since last winning in 1997. Prior to that ‘97 win for MU, the Buffaloes had won six straight in Boulder, meaning that overall, CU has won 10-of-11 at home over the Tigers dating back to 1985.
   Colorado dominated the series for a stretch beginning in 1985, when a 38-7 Buff win in Boulder began a streak that saw CU win 12-straight over Mizzou. And yes, here’s where we feel obligated to make quick mention of the most infamous game in the series history – the 33-31 CU win in Columbia in 1990 that will henceforth and forever be known as the Fifth Down Game.

LAST YEAR REWIND: #25 MIZZOU 28, COLORADO 13 (2006)
   The 25th-ranked Missouri Tigers beat Colorado 28-13 in their 2006 Big 12 Conference opener to improve to 5-0 and match their best start in a quarter-century.
   Chase Daniel threw four touchdown passes as Missouri equaled the 5-0 start of the 1981 team. Daniel, a sophomore in his first season as a starter, completed 23 of 35 passes for 253 yards, with two interceptions.
   Daniel and tight end Chase Coffman teamed up for first-quarter scoring passes of 2 and 9 yards. Daniel hit Missouri’s other tight end, Martin Rucker, on a 1-yard score with 11 seconds left in the first half, and connected with wide receiver Jared Perry on a 9-yard score midway through the third quarter.
   Both teams entered the game ranked in the top 10 nationally in team defense - Missouri (5-0, 1-0) was first and Colorado eighth. But the Tigers moved easily to touchdowns on their first two possessions, scoring on drives of 71 and 77 yards.
   Colorado, ranked 113th in offense with just 223.5 yards per game coming in, actually outgained Missouri 373-353, but could manage just two Mason Crosby field goals - a 32-yarder in the first quarter and a 36-yarder in the second - and one third-quarter touchdown.
   Missouri’s third score was set up by a Colorado mistake when punter Matt DiLallo let a high snap slip through his hands late in the second quarter. He recovered but was tackled at the Colorado 14. Six plays later, on third-and-goal from the 1 and out of time-outs, Daniel hit Rucker to make it 21-6.
   Colorado quarterback Bernard Jackson and wide receiver Dusty Sprague connected on a 63-yard pass on the first play of the third quarter, and Jackson scored from the 1 a play later to make it 21-13. Missouri answered with a 52-yard scoring drive ending with Perry’s score.
   Colorado went for it on fourth down five times. All five failed, including a second-quarter effort on fourth-and-goal from the Missouri 4 with the Buffaloes trailing 14-3.
   Jackson was 13-of-27 for 190 yards and ran 15 times for 93 yards. Hugh Charles carried 13 times for 87 yards for Colorado. Tony Temple led Missouri runners with 70 yards on 18 carries.
   Missouri converted 11-of-18 third down coversions, and its defense held the Buffaloes to only 3-of-12 on third downs, in addition to the 0-of-5 on fourth downs.

TIGERS LOOK TO IMPROVE ON 3RD-DOWN DEFENSE SATURDAY IN BOULDER
   Mizzou’s defense didn’t exactly pitch a shutout last Saturday against Iowa State, but it didn’t play as poorly as the 28 points allowed might indicate. The defense was only responsible for 21 points, as the Cyclones scored their 1st TD of the day off a deflected pass that was intercepted and returned for a pick six.
   The Cyclones managed only 389 yards of offense on the day – the 6th-straight foe that MU has held to under 400 yards – and that was only one yard more than the previous week when MU held high-flying Texas Tech to only 388 yards in a 41-10 Homecoming win.
   Mizzou’s primary problem area against the Cylcones was on 3rd down, as ISU converted 11-of-20 attempts on the day. And when ISU didn’t convert on 3rd down, they had mostly success on 4th down, converting 2-of-3 there. All of those conversions led to Iowa State owning a massive 38:22-to-21:38 edge in time of possession.
   The Buffaloes have shown they can play the clock game with the best of them, as Colorado ranks 9th in the NCAA entering Saturday’s game in time of possession. CU is averaging 32:13 of clock time so far.
   For the season, MU’s defense ranks 9th in the Big 12 on 3rd down defense, allowing opponents a conversion rate of 43.8% (57-of-130). Conversely, Colorado’s offense ranks 11th in the Big 12, as they’ve converted at a 34.9% clip (51-of-146) through 9 games.
   In 2006, 3rd and 4th down were a key in MU’s 28-13 win over Colorado, as the Tiger defense held the Buffs to a combined 3-of-17 on conversions, including just 3-of-12 on 3rd down and 0-of-5 on 4th down.
   Look for the Buffaloes to not be shy about giving it a go on 4th down this Saturday once again, as CU has the most 4th-down attempts in the nation this season, with 23 through 9 games (they’ve converted 11, for 47.8%). On the flip side, Mizzou has tried only 4 4th downs so far, converting a nation-best 100% to this point.

OFFENSE SCORING AT A REMARKABLE PACE
   Mizzou ranks 8th nationally in scoring offense coming into Saturday’s game, averaging 40.38 points per game. Perhaps, we would suggest, the most remarkable thing about this is the consistency with which the Tigers have scored this year – Mizzou has scored 30 points or more in each of their 8 games so far, and that’s something that’s never been done before at the school.
   The previous longest stretch of consecutive games scoring 30 points or more was 5, and that was done only twice before, in 1997 under Coach Larry Smith, and in 2002 under Coach Gary Pinkel.
The 8 games of scoring 30 or more this season is tied for the MU single-season record.
   With 323 points scored so far, the current Tigers are on pace to shatter the school record of 399 points, set in 13 games by the 2003 squad. With a bowl game likely on the horizon, MU’s current pace of 40.38 ppg extrapolates to a 13-game total of 525 points.

OFFENSE AVOIDING THE THREE-AND-OUT
   Few things cripple an offense more than the dreaded failed possession that ends up going three-and-out with a punt. Mizzou’s offense has proven astoundingly successful in 2007 at avoiding that pratfall, however, as through 8 games, MU has gone three-and-out (followed by a punt) only 11 times.
   Five of those 11 times came in the season opener against Illinois, and another 2 came in game #2 in the 4th quarter at Ole Miss when MU had a big lead and was more concerned with milking clock than anything else. Mizzou has had just 4 three-and-out offensive possessions total in the last 6 games.

DEFENSE MAKING STATISTICAL STRIDES
   Mizzou’s defense took some lumps from the peanut gallery/haters after its first two games, when it allowed 435 yards to Illinois and 534 yards to Ole Miss to begin the season.
   But Defensive Coordinator Matt Eberflus’ troops have worked hard to get better, and his young squad has done just that in the past month-and-a-half, as the Tigers have held 6 straight foes to under 400 yards of offense.
   The Tiger defense kept ISU’s offense in check last time out for the most part, as the Cyclones had 389 yards of total offense, but that was 60 yards more than ISU was averaging coming into the game. Also, ISU was able to convert 11-of-20 3rd down tries on the day, as the Tiger defense wasn’t able to get off the field as much as desired.
   Prior to that, Mizzou had a very impressive day against Texas Tech in which it held Tech’s high-flying offense very much in check. The Red Raiders came into the game ranked 1st in the nation in passing offense (500.4 ypg) and total offense (582.0) and were 2nd nationally coming in in pass efficiency (177.9 rating) and 3rd in scoring (50.0 ppg). Eberflus was selected as the National Defensive Coordinator of the Week for his team’s performance against the Red Raiders by both Rivals.com, and by the Master Coaches’ Survey.
   Despite the scoreboard saying that Oklahoma scored 41 points 2 games ago against MU, the Tiger defense played much better than that, as OU scored 21 points off of turnovers.
   The big plays have come down markedly, as MU has allowed only 13 plays of 20 yards or more in its last 6 games combined, compared to 14 of 20 or more in the 1st 2 games alone. Nebraska failed to produce a single offensive play of 20 yards or more, with the longest pass going for 18 yards, and the longest rush being 17 yards, while Texas Tech had just one play of 20 yards or more.

MU DEFENSIVE COMPARISON:
NON-CONF. VS. BIG 12 GAMES
1st 4 Big 12 Last 4 Big 12
Category Avg. Rank Avg. Rank
Scoring Def. 25.0 8th 21.2 3rd
Rush Def. 158.8 9th 83.8 2nd
Total Def. 434.5 11th 364.5 4th
Pass Eff. Def. 123.3 10th 115.2 4th

DEFENSIVE NUMBERS IMPRESSIVE DURING CONFERENCE PLAY
   Continuing the discussion about Mizzou’s defensive improvement, here’s a look at at where Mizzou ranked (and what it was allowing per game) in its first 4 games (all non-conference games), versus where it stands in Big 12-play (last 4 games only)...

MIZZOU GETTING OFF TO FAST STARTS; PREVENTING OPPONENTS FROM THE SAME
   Mizzou has proven through 8 games to be effective at both scoring on their initial possessions of either half, and also at preventing opponents from doing the same. Combining the opening drives for both teams in both the 1st and 2nd half, MU has outscored foes by a 63-14 margin.
   In the 1st quarter, MU has outscored opponents by a 28-0 margin on opening drives. In fact, MU’s defense has allowed a total of just four 1st downs all year to its 8 opponents (2 at Ole Miss, and 1 each to Texas Tech and Iowa State), while on offense, the Tigers have never gone three-and-out on their initial series.
   The numbers are similar after halftime, as MU has outscored foes by a 35-14 margin in 3rd quarter opening drives. After the 1st two opponents (Illinois, Ole Miss) both scored a TD on their opening drives of the 3rd quarter, each of the last 6 foes have failed to score on their opening drive of the 2nd half.

TIGERS LEAD THE NATION IN 3RD-DOWN CONVERSIONS
   The latest NCAA stats show that Missouri enters this weekend’s games atop the nation’s rankings in 3rd-down efficiency, converting a nation-best 56.9% (66-of-116). Mizzou maintained the top spot in the rankings after a 6-of-11 performance last Saturday against Iowa State.
   Earlier, MU had a solid 9-of-16 showing (56.3%) on the road in the Tigers’ 41-31 loss at 6th-ranked Oklahoma – that, despite the fact that OU came into the game ranked 3rd nationally in 3rd-down defense, allowing opponents a conversion rate of just 25.5%.

TIGERS AMONG NATION’S LEAST PENALIZED TEAM – RANK 3RD IN NCAA
   One of Head Coach Gary Pinkel’s tried and true lines has to do with Missouri beating Missouri, and how penalties and mistakes do just that. So far in 2007, his Tigers have done a good job of not beating themselves with penalties, as MU ranks 3rd in the nation in fewest penalty yards per game, with just 32.63 yards averaged. Mizzou’s opponent this Saturday, Colorado, is about middle of the pack in the country, ranking 48th currently, with a per-game average of 50.78 yards.
   Through 8 games, MU has been flagged 38 times for a grand total of 261 yards. They are coming off a game in which they were penalized just 1 time for 7 yards – a tough pass interference call that went against MLB Brock Christopher that extended an ISU drive on 3rd-and-long.
   Prior to that, MU was flagged just 3 times for 33 yards against Texas Tech. Previously, the Tigers were cited 5 times for 25 yards at Oklahoma, after getting flagged 9 times for a season-high 79 yards against Nebraska the week before.

TIGER OFFENSIVE ATTACK AMONG NATION’S MOST BALANCED
   Spread offensive attacks such as Mizzou’s aren’t usually thought of as strong in the run game, but the Tigers, through 8 games, have shown they can do more than just throw the ball.
   Mizzou enters Saturday’s game against Colorado ranked 40th in the NCAA in rushing (172.5 ypg), 5th in passing (326.1 ypg), 7th in total offense (498.6 ypg) and 8th in scoring (40.4 ppg).
   The NCAA numbers show that MU is the only school in the country currently averaging at least 300 yards passing and 170 yards rushing.
   The last time out, MU was more productive passing the ball than running it, as the Tigers had 250 yards passing compared to 116 rushing. The number of attempts passing (37) and rushing (28) were fairly equal, and MU averaged 4.1 yards per rush attempt, but the Tigers just didn’t have many opportunities offensively, as the Cyclones controlled the clock for more than 38 minutes and limited Mizzou to a season-low 65 offensive snaps.
   Prior to that, the Tigers displayed virtually perfect balance against Texas Tech, as they rushed for 212 yards and threw for 210 yards in Mizzou’s 41-10 win. That broke a string of 21 consecutive games where the Tigers had more passing yardage than rushing yardage in a game – the last previous instance of MU gaining more yards on the ground was in 2005 vs. Baylor (rush for 298, pass for 72).

Chase Daniel: LAST 8 BCS GAMES
Opp. Att Comp Int Pct Yards TD Long Sack Yds Effic
Illinois 54 37 0 68.5 359 3 33 2 26 142.7
Ole Miss 42 31 0 73.8 330 5 40 1 11 179.1
Nebraska 47 33 0 70.2 401 2 48 0 0 155.9
Oklahoma 47 37 2 78.7 361 1 34 3 24 141.8
Texas Tech 19 14 1 73.7 210 1 57 3 22 173.4
Iowa State 37 28 1 75.7 250 1 22 0 0 136.0
TOTALS 246 180 4 73.2 1,911 13 57 9 83 152.6
2006 Att Comp Int Pct Yards TD Long Sack Yds Effic
Kansas 38 26 0 68.4 356 4 74 1 15 181.9
Oregon St. 29 16 0 55.2 330 2 74 3 23 173.5
8 GAMES 313 224 4 71.6 2,597 19 74 13 121 158.7

DANIEL LEADING THE WAY FOR MIZZOU’S HIGH-FLYING OFFENSE
   There can’t be many QBs in the nation playing at a higher level than Tiger signal caller Chase Daniel, who currently ranks 5th in the nation in total offense (342.75 ypg) and 17th nationally in passing efficiency (148.52 rating).
And he hasn’t been putting up numbers against the sisters of the poor, exactly. Here’s a look at Daniel’s numbers this season against his 6 BCS-conference opponents, as well as the last 2 games of the 2006 season.
   Daniel had a scintillating night at Ole Miss, where he tied his own MU single-game record by tossing 5 TDs (all coming in a span of just 16:07), as he helped lead the Tigers to an important 38-25 road win. In the 2nd quarter alone at Ole Miss, Daniel was 12-of-17 passing for 177 yards and 4 TDs, good for a stout QB rating of 235.7.
   Last season, Daniel smashed numerous season records that former QB great Brad Smith and others held, including passing yards (3,527 – almost 1,100 more than the old record of 2,436 by Jeff Handy in 1992), passing TDs (28), TDs responsible for (32) and total offense (3,906). Daniel ranked 5th in the NCAA in total offense with his per-game average of 300.5 ypg – that was the highest a Tiger has rated in total offense nationally since Bob Steuber finished 3rd in 1942.
   Daniel, in his first year as a starter in 2006, led MU to its first 6-0 start since 1973, and an 8-win season for only the 10th time in school history. He enters Saturday’s game against CU with a career record of 15-6 as a starter at Mizzou.